Estimating Due Dates

Estimating the date of birth is a crucial point in rearing management
for newly born cubs and their mothers. Here we utilize three primary indicators
to estimate due dates based on our past experience.

The gestation period for giant pandas is believed to be three to five months. At this park, the shortest on our record was 93 days, while the longest was 163, showing a nearly two entire months’ difference. It has been found that the period can vary greatly among individuals. This is due to the unique reproductive mechanism in pandas known as delayed implantation.*

*Delayed implantation: A form of implantation observed in certain mammals. In this process, the embryo remains in a state of suspended dormancy until certain criteria are met, only when it continues on to implantation and placental formation. This is seen in relatives of bears, including pandas, and marsupials.

  • Gestation Periods

    Mother: Meimei Mother: Rauhin
    Birth Year Gestation Period Birth Year Gestation Period
    2000 103 days 2008 138 days
    2001 93 days 2010
    136 days
    2003 109 days 2012 129 days
    2005 139 days 2014 136 days
    2006 117 days 2016 136 days
        2018 128 days
        2020 163 days
    Average 112 days Average 134 days
    Shortest 93 days Shortest 128 days
    Longest 139 days Longest 163 days
  • Birth Estimation Table

    Mother Birth Year Days from First Signs to Birth
    Decrease in fecal volume (less than 5kg) Urinary pregnanediol peak Continual increase in sleep duration
    Meimei 2000 24 20 26
    2001 21
    23 14
    2003 21 22 24
    2005 25 21 25
    2006 22 22 23
    Mean ± standard deviation 22.6±1.8 21.6±1.1 22.4±4.8
    Rauhin 2008 21 20 31
    2010 23 25 31
    2012 23 27 31
    2014 27 20 29
    2016 22 21 27
    2018 22 23 27
    2020 21 17 23
    Mean ± standard deviation 22.7±2.1 21.9±3.4 28.4±3.0
    Meimei・Rauhin Mean ± standard deviation 22.7±1.9 21.8±2.6 25.9±4.8

From 2010 on, the survival rate of panda babies in captivity has soared to 88%. This is believed to be due to established rearing techniques for the mother and child during the first week after birth, when the risk of death is highest. Estimating the date of birth is a crucial point in rearing management for newly born cubs and their mothers. Here we utilize three primary indicators to estimate due dates based on our past experience.

  • ① Dramatic decrease in fecal volume (5 kg)
  • ② Urinary pregnanediol (in the form of PDG) peak
  • ③ Continual increase in sleep duration

These indicators appear in the order of increased sleep duration, decrease in fecal volume, and urinary pregnanediol peak. The decrease in fecal volume is believed to be the most reliable sign, as there is minimal variation. At the park, after estimating the date of birth based on these three indicators, we then conclude that a female is about to give birth when she grows restless, her vulva looks swelling, and she is seen frequently licking it. The ability to predict the date of birth allows us to well in time arrange the environment for the mother to give birth and raise the baby.

Fluctuations in Time Spent on Sleeping / Eating
(before Rauhin gave birth in 2020)

Fluctuations in Fecal Volume and Urinary Pregnanediol
(before Rauhin gave birth in 2020)